For the last ten years, researchers, companies and investors bet on the notion that mutations that caused common diseases would themselves be common, so they set out to identify the common mutations in the human population. This is what made headlines in 2000. That meant indexing just a few healthy people – it didn’t really matter, so long as they were human – and comparing a small sector of a person’s individual genome to it. This was expensive and, more importantly, supposed that the mutations would be easy to find.
The premise was incorrect. The latest findings suggest that common diseases are caused by rare, not common, mutations, such is the genetic lottery of reproduction. (Apparently natural selection weeds out disease-causing mutations before they become common.) The belief now is that the entire genome of patients need to be analyzed to get a complete, integral view. But the problem has been cost. What first cost tens of millions per genome, so complex was the sequencing and so new the technology, has decreased to $25,000 per genome, and at scale could drop below $5,000. (The company behind the testing is Complete Genomics of Mountain View, California.)
The research is still elementary. For example, we most understand single-gene, cause-and-effect diseases. But this research is the gateway to the more common multigene diseases such as cancer.
Customized medicine is coming. It will involve the sequencing of a person’s genome at birth, so that preventive measures can be taken until genetic altering cures can be found; and eventually, medicine that is designed to work with the an individual’s DNA footprint. Stay tuned.